K. Sema
D. Kulusevski
Pre-game odds
| 1 | X | 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Odds |
1.14
|
8.00
|
17.00
|
| Prob. |
87.7%
|
12.5%
|
5.9%
|
Key points
• Sweden's recent form: 3 wins and 3 losses in last 6 matches
• Defensive vulnerabilities shown in conceding 5 goals against Portugal
• Sweden averages 1.5 goals per game but concedes 2 goals on average
• 83% of Sweden's recent games have seen over 2.5 goals
• Estonia has only 1 win in their last 6 matches
• Estonia concedes an average of 2.67 goals per game in recent away matches
Current streaks
Sweden
1
0
0
1
0
3
Estonia
0
2
1
0
0
17
Recent form
Sweden
Sweden's recent form shows a mixed performance with 3 wins and 3 losses in their last 6 matches. Their most recent victory against Azerbaijan in the UEFA Nations League suggests a potential upturn in form. Notably, there's a high-scoring game against Portugal where Sweden conceded 5 goals, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. The team's goal-scoring ability remains consistent, averaging 1.5 goals per game, but their defense has been leaky, conceding an average of 2 goals per match. Interestingly, 83% of their recent games have seen over 2.5 goals, suggesting exciting, high-scoring encounters. Despite keeping only one clean sheet in these six matches, both teams have scored in 67% of the games, pointing to Sweden's ability to find the net even when struggling defensively.
Estonia
Estonia's recent form has been challenging, with only one win in their last six matches. They are currently on a three-game losing streak, having suffered defeats against Slovakia, Switzerland, and Finland. Their sole victory came in a high-scoring Baltic Cup match against the Faroe Islands, where they netted an impressive 4 goals. Defensively, Estonia has struggled, conceding 11 goals in six games and failing to keep a clean sheet. The team's matches tend to be high-scoring affairs, with 67% of their games seeing over 2.5 goals. Despite their difficulties, Estonia has managed to score in four out of their last six matches, demonstrating some offensive capability amidst their defensive struggles.
Sweden
WLWLLW
W3 D0 L3
9
1.5
12
2
-3
1
3.5
67%
17%
83%
Estonia
LLLWDL
W1 D1 L4
7
1.2
11
1.8
-4
0
3
67%
33%
67%
Recent home/away form
Sweden
Sweden's recent home form shows a mixed bag of results, with a notable streak of four consecutive wins sandwiched between two losses. Their goal-scoring has been consistent, averaging 1.5 goals per game, but their defense has been somewhat porous, conceding 1.33 goals per game. The team has managed two clean sheets in their last six matches, both against Estonia. Interestingly, 67% of their recent home games have seen over 2.5 goals, indicating a tendency for high-scoring encounters. The most notable result was a 3-0 loss to Serbia in their most recent match, breaking their four-game winning streak and representing their heaviest defeat in this period. Overall, Sweden has shown strength at home, but their recent form suggests some vulnerability, particularly in defense.
Estonia
Estonia's recent away form has been particularly challenging, with a notable run of five consecutive losses before their most recent draw against Lithuania in the Baltic Cup. Their defensive struggles are evident, conceding an average of 2.67 goals per game over the last six matches, while only managing to score 0.67 goals per game themselves. The team has failed to keep a clean sheet in any of these games, and two-thirds of their matches have seen over 2.5 goals scored. A standout high-scoring game was their 5-1 defeat against Poland in the Euros Qualifiers, contributing significantly to their -12 goal difference. Despite their difficulties, Estonia has managed to score in 67% of these away games, showing some offensive capability despite their overall poor form.
Sweden
LWWWWL
W4 D0 L2
9
1.5
8
1.3
+1
2
2.83
50%
33%
67%
Estonia
LLLLLD
W0 D1 L5
4
0.7
16
2.7
-12
0
3.33
67%
33%
67%