PSV Eindhoven 1-1 Borussia Dortmund (UCL) prediction and analysis

Key points

Four important facts that will determine the result of the game between PSV Eindhoven and Borussia Dortmund:

1. PSV Eindhoven's win probability is 55.65%, significantly higher than Borussia Dortmund's 24.73%.
2. PSV Eindhoven has been in solid form, winning 6 out of their last 10 games with a goal difference of +15.
3. Borussia Dortmund has shown good attacking prowess, scoring an average of 2.4 goals per game, but have room for improvement defensively.
4. In head-to-head matches, Borussia Dortmund has historically had the upper hand with 2 wins against PSV Eindhoven's 0 wins.

Recent form

PSV Eindhoven's recent form has been impressive, with 6 wins, 4 draws, and 0 losses in their last 10 games. They have been scoring prolifically, finding the back of the net 25 times while conceding just 10 goals. This gives them a goal difference of +15, showcasing their attacking prowess and defensive solidity. Their average goals scored per game stands at 2.5, while they have been conceding an average of 1 goal per game. With this strong run of form, PSV Eindhoven has been collecting an average of 2.2 points per game, demonstrating their consistency and competitiveness in recent matches.

Recent results: W6 D4 L0
Goals scored: 25
Goals conceded: 10
Goal difference: +15
Average goals scored per game: 2.5
Average goals conceded per game: 1
Points per game: 2.2

D - 2024-01-07 - PSV Eindhoven 2-2 Hamburger SV (Friendlies Clubs)
D - 2024-01-07 - PSV Eindhoven 1-1 Heracles (Friendlies Clubs)
W - 2024-02-16 - PSV Eindhoven 2-0 Heracles (Eredivisie)
W - 2024-02-11 - FC Volendam 1-5 PSV Eindhoven (Eredivisie)
D - 2024-02-03 - Ajax 1-1 PSV Eindhoven (Eredivisie)
W - 2024-01-27 - PSV Eindhoven 2-0 Almere City FC (Eredivisie)
L - 2024-01-24 - Feyenoord 1-0 PSV Eindhoven (KNVB Beker)
D - 2024-01-21 - Utrecht 1-1 PSV Eindhoven (Eredivisie)
W - 2024-01-17 - PSV Eindhoven 3-1 Twente (KNVB Beker)
W - 2024-01-13 - PSV Eindhoven 3-1 Excelsior (Eredivisie)
W - 2023-12-17 - AZ Alkmaar 0-4 PSV Eindhoven (Eredivisie)
D - 2023-12-12 - PSV Eindhoven 1-1 Arsenal (UEFA Champions League)

Borussia Dortmund's recent form has been relatively solid, with a mix of wins, draws, and a loss in their last 10 games. They have scored a total of 24 goals while conceding 13, resulting in a positive goal difference. The team has shown good attacking prowess with an average of 2.4 goals scored per game. Defensively, they have room for improvement, conceding an average of 1.3 goals per game. Overall, Dortmund has been consistent in collecting points recently, showing a balanced performance across their fixtures.

Recent results: W3 D5 L2
Goals scored: 24
Goals conceded: 13
Goal difference: +11
Average goals per game: 2.4
Points per game: 1.6

D - 2024-01-09 - Borussia Dortmund 3-3 Standard Liege (Friendlies Clubs)
D - 2024-01-06 - Borussia Dortmund 2-2 AZ Alkmaar (Friendlies Clubs)
D - 2024-02-17 - VfL Wolfsburg 1-1 Borussia Dortmund (Bundesliga)
W - 2024-02-09 - Borussia Dortmund 3-0 SC Freiburg (Bundesliga)
D - 2024-02-02 - FC Heidenheim 0-0 Borussia Dortmund (Bundesliga)
W - 2024-01-28 - Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Vfl Bochum (Bundesliga)
W - 2024-01-20 - 1.FC Köln 0-4 Borussia Dortmund (Bundesliga)
W - 2024-01-13 - SV Darmstadt 98 0-3 Borussia Dortmund (Bundesliga)
D - 2023-12-19 - Borussia Dortmund 1-1 FSV Mainz 05 (Bundesliga)
D - 2023-12-16 - FC Augsburg 1-1 Borussia Dortmund (Bundesliga)
D - 2023-12-13 - Borussia Dortmund 1-1 Paris Saint Germain (UEFA Champions League)
L - 2023-12-09 - Borussia Dortmund 2-3 RB Leipzig (Bundesliga)

Recent home/away form

PSV Eindhoven have been in solid form at home recently, scoring 13 goals and conceding 5 in their last 5 matches. They have won 4 out of their last 5 games, including a 3-1 victory against both Twente and Excelsior. Their goal difference stands at +8, averaging 2.6 goals scored per game and 1 goal conceded per game during this period.

Head-to-head

Based on the search results provided, here are the head-to-head (H2H) statistics between PSV Eindhoven and Borussia Dortmund:

- PSV Eindhoven and Borussia Dortmund have played 3 matches against each other:
- PSV Eindhoven: 0 wins
- Borussia Dortmund: 2 wins
- Draws: 1

- In 13 of these matches (not explicitly stated but including other teams), Borussia Dortmund's home record averaged 2.33 goals per game, while away games averaged 2.42 goals.

- PSV Eindhoven's record against German clubs in the Champions League isn't extensive, with three wins, one draw, and eight losses against German opposition historically, including a 3-1 home loss in the Champions League group stage to Borussia Dortmund in 2002/03.

- The last match between the two teams was on February 20, 2024, as part of the UEFA Champions League Round of 16, and the head-to-head stats are likely to be updated afterwards.

Please note that the statistics provided are up to the date of the search results (February 17 and 20, 2024) and may change if more recent information becomes available.

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